- The Mariners are -118 favorites vs the Yankees
- Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: YES | RTNW | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (-118) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-102) on Thursday, July 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Mariners are 48-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 42-50 ATS.
Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 8-4, 2.76 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-1, 7.45 ERA
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -105 | -118 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -115 | -102 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+25.00 Units / 278% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 41% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+10.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 away games (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.60 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.87 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 92 games (+6.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-52 against the Run Line (-16.2 Units / -14.29% ROI).
- 48-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -5.37% ROI
- 49-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.15 Units / 6.1% ROI
- 39-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.07 Units / -14.82% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 42-50 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -8.32% ROI).
- 51-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -8.91% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -12.87% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.97 Units / 4.86% ROI
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -220 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .086 (10-for-116) against Bryan Woo’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (554/735) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .121 (14 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .350 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (554/735) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has thrown just 41% of his pitches in the strike zone (618/1,527) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .353 (60-for-170) against Marcus Stroman since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (920/1,527) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of 72% (58/81) over the past seven days (1 game) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 36-1 (.973) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are 111-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mariners are 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mariners are 91-13 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 129-10 (.928) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Yankees are 68-23 (.747) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging .719 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,892 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .266 (2,273 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 8.06 (67.0 IP) this month (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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