- The Mariners are +105 favorites vs the Yankees
- Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: YES | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-125) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Mariners are 48-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 40-50 ATS.
Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 2-2, 3.40 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 5-4, 5.02 ERA
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -118 | +105 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | U 9 -102 | -125 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+22.10 Units / 316% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+14.85 Units / 149% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
Yankees Best Bets Today:
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-50 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -11.72% ROI).
- 48-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -3.78% ROI
- 47-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 4.21% ROI
- 39-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.87 Units / -12.94% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 40-50 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -11.23% ROI).
- 49-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -10.4% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -15.2% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.17 Units / 7.17% ROI
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
| Will Warren (NYY) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (164/445) against Logan Gilbert this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .158 (59-for-374) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed an OBP of just .172 (297 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed an OPS of just .412 (297 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Will Warren has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (479/667) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 37% of Will Warren’s breaking pitches (158/426) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .113 (8-for-71) against Will Warren’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .218 — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 35% of Will Warren’s low breaking pitches (112/317) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 91-12 (.883) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Mariners are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Mariners are 111-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mariners were just 66-16 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are just 6-86 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Yankees are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners batted just .213 against LHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .368 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .754 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .266 (2,257 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Yankees have allowed 8.83 runs per game (53/6) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 9.37 (49.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mariners vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
