- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: Amazon | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Mariners are 48-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 41-50 ATS.
Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 3-2, 2.96 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -110 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -110 | -160 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Logan Evans has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 4 away games (+4.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Logan Evans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Logan Evans has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Logan Evans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Logan Evans has hit the Earned Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Mariners Best Bets Today:
Yankees Best Bets Today:
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-51 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -11.72% ROI).
- 48-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -3.78% ROI
- 47-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 4.21% ROI
- 39-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.87 Units / -12.94% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 41-50 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -11.23% ROI).
- 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -10.4% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -15.2% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.17 Units / 7.17% ROI
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -235 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Evans (SEA) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Cam Schlittler (NYY) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
33% of Logan Evans’ strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 50% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (44/142) against Logan Evans this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Logan Evans has a strike rate of just 59% (56/95) over the past seven days (1 game) — 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Logan Evans had a strike rate of just 59% (56/95) in his last start — 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 36-1 (.973) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mariners are 111-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mariners were 18-1 (.947) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Yankees are 117-11 (.914) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are just 10-150 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .214 at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .368 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .265 (2,265 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .192 (120 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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