- The Mariners are -110 favorites vs the Yankees
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on YES
The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-110) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 35-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 38-34 ATS.
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | O 7 -115 | -110 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -105 | -110 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+12.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.30 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +110 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 away games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 33-37 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -5.74% ROI).
- 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -8.32% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -3.94% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 38-34 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 4.64% ROI).
- 39-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.36% ROI
- 31-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -14.77% ROI
- 39-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 5.81% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 6 of 323 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (852/1,194) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (415/582) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has not walked any of the 61 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/17) against Gerrit Cole — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
55% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .203 (69 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has struck out 33% (178/534) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are just 1-14 (.067) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Mariners are 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 54-9 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Mariners are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 27-44 (.380) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 58-20 (.744) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .646.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .271 (303 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
The Mariners are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .303 (712 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 217 walks in 2,057 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are just 6-13 (.316) against the run line (-49.6% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .552.
Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 81% of their games (53.6% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .224 (85 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 182 of 2,613 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 633 of 8,643 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.73 (1002.2 IP) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
Bet now on Mariners vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
