- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Yankees
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jhony Brito
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+135) on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 35-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 39-34 ATS.
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +105 | O 7 +100 | -160 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -130 | U 7 -120 | +135 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+10.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhony Brito | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Luis Castillo | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 33-38 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -8.14% ROI).
- 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -9.3% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -2.59% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 39-34 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 6.72% ROI).
- 40-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.37% ROI
- 31-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -15.89% ROI
- 40-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 6.95% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
keys to the game – away
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 27-44 (.380) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Yankees are 47-79 (.373) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .269 (312 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .224 (85 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Yankees are batting just .220 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Yankees hitters have drawn 217 walks in 2,057 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 55 walks in 508 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 182 of 2,644 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- John Crawford (Mariners): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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