- The Angels are -200 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Miami Marlins (+165) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-200) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Marlins vs Angels Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 26-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 26-26 ATS.
Marlins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -125 | O 7.5 -105 | +165 |
| Angels | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -115 | -200 |
Marlins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 83.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.10 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Angels vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Angels vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Angels vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Angels vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -140 |
| Edward Cabrera | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 20-32 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -27.14% ROI).
- 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.58% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.5 Units / -14.9% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 6.71% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 26-26 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.43% ROI).
- 28-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.43% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has averaged 73.3 MPH on curveballs since last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 79.3 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (13/65) against Clayton Kershaw on curveballs since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 96th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.6 MPH (145 batted balls) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 — 92nd Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.8 MPH against his fastballs since last season (200 balls in play) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 90.4
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .142 (28-for-197) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.598 (166 PA’s) when ahead in the count since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.129 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .492 (30 total bases in 61 ABs) on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .075 (9-for-120) against Shohei Ohtani with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .170 — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Marlins are just 1-23 (.042) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Marlins are just 11-10 (.524) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Marlins are just 7-8 (.467) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-80 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Angels are just 22-4 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .649 (1,752 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,752 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,448 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have drawn 22 walks in 464 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (2,326 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 1,450 strikeouts in 5,626 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .267 (604 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have 1,986 strikeouts in 7,952 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 47 of 460 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 169 of 1,900 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Angels pitchers this season traveled 442.0 feet — — tied for 4th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 457.3
Angels vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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