- The Angels are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Pérez
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval
- Watch the game on BSW
The Miami Marlins (+110) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-135) on Sunday, May 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Marlins vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 26-27 ATS.
Marlins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Angels | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -135 |
Marlins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 62.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+10.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Angels vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Thaiss | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Giovanny Urshela | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Angels vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Thaiss | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giovanny Urshela | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Angels vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Thaiss | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giovanny Urshela | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sandoval | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Eury Perez | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+4.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 21-32 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -25.3% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 4.79% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 26-27 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -4.91% ROI).
- 28-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -4.16% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.99% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eury Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (22/46) of opposing batters over the last 30 days (3 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (36/115) against Eury Perez over the last 30 days (3 games) — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 92nd Percentile.
Eury Perez has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (18/59 PA’s) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.
Eury Perez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 1 double play in 5 opportunities (20%) over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 91st Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .354 (34-for-96) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 9% (3 SO in 32 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed a slugging percentage of just .083 (6 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed a slugging percentage of just .255 (24 Total Bases / 94 ABs) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 99th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Marlins are just 68-17 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Marlins are just 11-10 (.524) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Marlins are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Angels are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 22-4 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,752 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have drawn 24 walks in 474 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 175 double plays in 1,371 opportunities (13%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (2,331 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters are slugging .278 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Angels hitters have 1,457 strikeouts in 5,666 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have 1,994 strikeouts in 7,997 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 49 of 470 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 171 of 1,910 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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