• The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Astros TV Channel: MATV | SCHN

The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on July 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.

Marlins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 2-4, 3.50 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Tatsuya Imai 5-4, 6.10 ERA

Marlins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+18.00 Units / 180% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+2.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Marlins are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Marlins are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Marlins are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Marlins are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Astros are 42-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Astros are 36-3 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Astros are just 19-28 (.404) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Astros are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .285 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .537 (1,933 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging .278 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 116 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Astros are batting just .231 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 64 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (45%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 5.08 runs per game (254/50) on the road this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 100 home runs this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (462.2 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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