- The Astros (36-23) are -250 favorites vs the Marlins (27-30)
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera (2-0), 0.75 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (7-2), 2.135 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Miami Marlins (+190) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Marlins vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 27-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 28-31 ATS.
Marlins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -105 | O 7.5 +100 | +190 |
| Astros | -1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -120 | -250 |
Marlins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jesus Aguilar has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+6.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.70 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games (+19.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+7.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 31-26 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 4.65% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -8.48% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -7.21% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 28-31 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.73% ROI).
- 36-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 3.03% ROI
- 18-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -24 Units / -37.18% ROI
- 39-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.3 Units / 29.51% ROI
Edward Cabrera: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera had a strike rate of just 56% (55/99) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Edward Cabrera — tied for 8th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .246 — 94th Percentile.
The last hit on a Edward Cabrera breaking pitch was September 24th, 2021. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Luis Garcia has the longest active streak at 26.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (6/26) against Edward Cabrera — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .234 (269 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .183 (46-for-251) against Justin Verlander this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .537 (270 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 96th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .497 (140 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 96th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Marlins are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Marlins are just 6-16 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Marlins are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Marlins are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Astros are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Astros are just 3-10 (.231) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Astros are 18-2 (.900) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Astros are 11-3 (.786) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 615 strikeouts in 2,212 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Marlins hitters have 149 strikeouts in 516 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .315 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 498 strikeouts in 2,733 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .184 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Marlins pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (1003.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 29 of 237 batters (12%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (226.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15
- Garrett Cooper (Marlins): COVID, D10
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D15
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
- Pablo López (Marlins): Wrist, Day-to-Day
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.