Marlins vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2022, 10:22 AM
  • The Marlins (53-69) are -145 favorites vs the Athletics (45-78)
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Pablo López (7-8), 3.82 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Zach Logue (3-7), 6.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Miami Marlins (-145) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Marlins vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Marlins are 53-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 58-62 ATS.

Marlins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins-1.5 +120O 7 +100-145
Athletics +1.5 -145U 7 -120+120

Marlins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+9.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+8.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 99 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 55-65 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -12.73% ROI).

  • 53-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -12.7% ROI
  • 51-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -13.66% ROI
  • 63-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 5.62% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 58-62 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -10.94% ROI).

  • 43-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -14.26% ROI
  • 51-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -14.92% ROI
  • 64-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 6.04% ROI

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (134/342) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (88/217) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (215/479) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (163/551) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Logue: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Logue allowed an OPS of 1.351 (21 PA’s) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .652 — 0 Percentile.

Zach Logue has allowed a slugging percentage of .737 (28 Total Bases / 38 ABs) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 0 Percentile.

Zach Logue has an ERA of 12.10 (9.2 IP)this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 3.76 — 0 Percentile.

Zach Logue has allowed an OPS of 1.181 (45 PA’s) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 0 Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Marlins are just 8-30 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Marlins are 30-4 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Marlins are just 41-6 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Marlins are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Athletics are just 4-32 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Athletics are just 35-10 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Athletics are just 1-61 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Athletics are just 43-66 (.394) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,647 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .634 (2,647 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Marlins hitters have 734 strikeouts in 2,647 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Marlins are batting just .221 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,105 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .591 (2,105 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .317 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Athletics have won just 14% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 15 of 116 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 97 of 1,083 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Athletics vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Head, D7
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.