- The Marlins (54-69) are -125 favorites vs the Athletics (45-79)
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo (3-5), 3.43 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (6-11), 3.32 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Miami Marlins (-125) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+105) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Marlins vs Athletics Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 54-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 58-63 ATS.
Marlins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +145 | O 6.5 +105 | -125 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -175 | U 6.5 -125 | +105 |
Marlins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+17.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Peyton Burdick has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+8.20 Units / 49% ROI)
Athletics vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| MacKinnon | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Athletics vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| MacKinnon | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Athletics vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| MacKinnon | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Athletics vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Jesus Luzardo | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 54 of their last 100 games (+6.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 56-65 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -11.87% ROI).
- 54-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -11.88% ROI
- 52-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -12.79% ROI
- 63-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 4.83% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 58-63 against the Run Line (-18.55 Units / -11.76% ROI).
- 43-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -14.93% ROI
- 52-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.85 Units / -14.04% ROI
- 64-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 5.24% ROI
Jesús Luzardo: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (14/68) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of 1.266 (50 PA’s) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .696 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 53% (25/47) against Jesus Luzardo on the first pitch of at-bats — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (6/36) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .156 (14-for-90) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .228 (18-for-79) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (34/199) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (20 Total Bases / 90 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .411 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins are just 43-6 (.878) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Marlins are just 25-33 (.431) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Marlins are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Marlins are just 8-27 (.229) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 1-63 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics are just 4-32 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Athletics are just 43-68 (.387) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 19-42 (.311) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .285 (2,669 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have 742 strikeouts in 2,669 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 276 strikeouts in 973 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .497 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,141 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .276 (3,247 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .592 (2,141 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are batting just .205 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Marlins pitchers since the start of last season is 402.9 feet — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Athletics have won just 14% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Head, D7
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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