- The Blue Jays are -170 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Blue Jays TV Channel: MATV | RSN1
The Miami Marlins (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-170) on May 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Marlins are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-26 ATS.
Marlins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 2-5, 5.08 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 2-1, 1.07 ERA
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 -110 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -110 | -170 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+23.00 Units / 230% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 51% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 24-30 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -15.35% ROI).
- 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 32-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.8 Units / 18.35% ROI
- 20-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.95 Units / -27.62% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 27-26 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 1.05% ROI).
- 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -12.51% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -9.51% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.84% ROI
Blue Jays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Daulton Varsho | +340 |
| George Springer | +350 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | +360 |
| Kyle Stowers | +425 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | +425 |
Blue Jays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yohendrick Pinango | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ernie Clement | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Janson Junk | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Trey Yesavage | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Marlins are just 7-14 (.333) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins were just 62-100 (.383) in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Blue Jays are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Blue Jays are 16-75 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Blue Jays are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Blue Jays are 19-72 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins are batting just .199 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have 18 extra-base hits out of 73 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of .528 (1,026 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .338 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Blue Jays are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (176.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have 93 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 65% of opposing batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 19% of batters they faced (393/2,025 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have struck out 26% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 29 double plays in 385 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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