Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

Toronto Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. gestures after hitting a home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
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  • The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
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The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on May 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are ATS.

Marlins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 3-3, 4.09 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Braydon Fisher 2-1, 2.76 ERA

Marlins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -180O 7.5 +100+120
Blue Jays -1.5 +145U 7.5 -120-145

Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+16.00 Units / 178% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.04 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+4.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Blue Jays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Daulton Varsho +360
George Springer +360
Kyle Stowers +400
Kazuma Okamoto +425
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +475

Blue Jays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Otto Lopez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ernie Clement 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Yohendrick Pinango 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Liam Hicks 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Blue Jays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joe Mack 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Liam Hicks 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Brandon Valenzuela 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
George Springer 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins were just 16-44 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Blue Jays are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Blue Jays are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Blue Jays are 19-73 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Blue Jays are 7-81 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Marlins hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 19 extra-base hits out of 74 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .531 (1,046 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .334 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,017 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.09 (185.2 IP) on the road this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 93 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 1.09 runs per game (60/55) in late innings this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 5.27 runs per game (116/22) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers put just 34% of their swings in play this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,268 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 468 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.