• The Blue Jays are -155 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Marlins / Blue Jays TV Channel: MATV | RSN | ESUN

The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on May 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Marlins are 26-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-27 ATS.

Marlins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 3-6, 4.91 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 4-3, 3.19 ERA

Marlins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+27.00 Units / 270% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.30 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.10 Units / 56% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Tyler Heineman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+15.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 away games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.79 Units / 8% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 25-31 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -13.47% ROI).

• 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -4.17% ROI
• 34-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.7 Units / 18.86% ROI
• 20-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.25 Units / -28.21% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 28-27 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.58% ROI).

• 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -14.81% ROI
• 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -7.52% ROI
• 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.41% ROI

Blue Jays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Marlins are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Blue Jays are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays are 87-9 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Blue Jays are 16-76 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Blue Jays are 19-73 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters are slugging just .427 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 19 extra-base hits out of 75 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .196 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .633 (550 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (193.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 1.07 runs per game (60/56) in late innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 30 double plays in 395 opportunities (8%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (1,268 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,268 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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