- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Bryan Hoeing
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Watch the game on BSSO
The Miami Marlins (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Marlins vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 10-13 ATS.
Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +100 | O 9 -115 | +185 |
| Braves | -1.5 -120 | U 9 -105 | -225 |
Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Sam Hilliard | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Braves vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Sam Hilliard | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Braves vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Sam Hilliard | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Braves vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Hoeing | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +115 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+0.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+0.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 44% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 9-14 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -28.26% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 6.6% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -29.03% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 20% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 10-13 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 12.82% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 12.95% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -21.37% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (94/203) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (1,256/3,262) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 29 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (793/2,309) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins are just 9-64 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Marlins are just 114-18 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Marlins are 6-88 (.064) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Marlins are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .121.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 22-17 (.564) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 83-10 (.892) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 867 strikeouts in 3,176 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .335 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .614 (1,480 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,480 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .453 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Braves are batting .272 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Braves hitters are slugging .305 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Braves hitters are slugging .444 since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 22 of 205 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (86.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (119.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves have allowed 2.17 runs per game (26/12) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.48.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Raisel Iglesias (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Harris II (Braves): Back, D10
- Orlando Arcia (Braves): Wrist, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Luetge (Braves): Bicep, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Concussion, D7
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
