- The Braves (82-51) are -185 favorites vs the Marlins (55-76)
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera (4-2), 2.45 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (5-5), 3.90 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSE
The Miami Marlins (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Saturday, September 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Marlins vs Braves Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 55-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 68-62 ATS.
Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -140 | O 7.5 -105 | +150 |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | U 7.5 -115 | -185 |
Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 60 of his last 82 games (+20.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+17.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 46 games at home (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 69 of his last 120 games (+16.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 44 of his last 63 games at home (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 107 games (+26.42 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 59-70 against the Run Line (-21.8 Units / -12.76% ROI).
- 55-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.75 Units / -14.82% ROI
- 56-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -12.23% ROI
- 67-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 4.09% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 68-62 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.24% ROI).
- 80-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 4.02% ROI
- 65-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.46% ROI
- 57-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -10.18% ROI
Edward Cabrera: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Edward Cabrera — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (11/35) against Edward Cabrera — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 4 of 26 right-handed batters (15%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% (5/17) against Edward Cabrera — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Jacob Odorizzi: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (41/165) against Jake Odorizzi in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi this season is 382.3 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (8/86) against Jake Odorizzi on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (800/1,666) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins are just 26-38 (.406) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Marlins are just 6-45 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Marlins are just 29-38 (.433) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Marlins are just 8-31 (.205) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are 73-15 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 37-26 (.587) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 775 strikeouts in 2,786 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .582 (1,090 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .626 (2,786 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .659 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .555.
Braves hitters are slugging .304 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Braves hitters are slugging .442 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Braves hitters are slugging .445 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Marlins have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.1).
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
- Jackson Stephens (Braves): Concussion, D7
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Jonathon Berti (Marlins): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.