• The Brewers are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Marlins / Brewers TV Channel: MATV | BRTV

The Miami Marlins (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on July 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Marlins are 52-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 51-45 ATS.

Marlins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 9-1, 2.58 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 8-2, 3.04 ERA

Marlins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+18.40 Units / 204% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.95 Units / 41% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.30 Units / 56% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+15.00 Units / 75% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+18.60 Units / 233% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+12.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 52-44 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 3.27% ROI).

• 52-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 6.7% ROI
• 51-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 2.97% ROI
• 43-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -12% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 51-45 against the Run Line (+12.4 Units / 11.09% ROI).

• 59-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 6.64% ROI
• 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -12.26% ROI
• 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 3.59% ROI

Brewers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

The Marlins are 43-11 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Brewers are 10-26 (.278) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Brewers are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Brewers are 39-20 (.661) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Brewers are 52-13 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .285 this season — best in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .178 with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .257 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,105 of their 3,745 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .368 (421 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (462.2 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .230 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 95 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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