- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / Brewers TV Channel: MATV | BRTV
The Miami Marlins (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on July 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.
Marlins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 9-1, 2.58 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 4-3, 3.07 ERA
Marlins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -110 | +110 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -110 | -135 |
Marlins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+17.40 Units / 174% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+15.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games (+9.25 Units / 132% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Brewers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Heriberto Hernandez | +310 |
| Jackson Chourio | +325 |
| Kyle Stowers | +350 |
| Jake Bauers | +350 |
| William Contreras | +390 |
Brewers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brice Turang | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Liam Hicks | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Brewers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Joe Mack | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jakob Marsee | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Leonardo Jimenez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Marlins are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Marlins are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Brewers are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Brewers are 10-26 (.278) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Brewers are 39-20 (.661) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Brewers are 10-2 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of .331 (2,758 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of .329 (1,830 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Marlins hitters are slugging .280 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,118 of their 3,787 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB.
The Brewers are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.
The Brewers are batting .291 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have allowed 96 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (462.2 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.
The Brewers have won 52% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.
The Brewers have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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