Marlins vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 18

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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  • The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Marlins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Marlins / Brewers TV Channel: MATV | BRTV

The Miami Marlins (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on July 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Marlins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 9-1, 2.58 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 4-3, 3.07 ERA

Marlins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -190O 8 -110+110
Brewers -1.5 +155U 8 -110-135

Marlins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+17.40 Units / 174% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+15.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games (+9.25 Units / 132% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Heriberto Hernandez +310
Jackson Chourio +325
Kyle Stowers +350
Jake Bauers +350
William Contreras +390

Brewers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Brice Turang 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Liam Hicks 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Christian Yelich 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Brewers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Joe Mack 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Esteury Ruiz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Leonardo Jimenez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Marlins are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Marlins are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Brewers are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Brewers are 10-26 (.278) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Brewers are 39-20 (.661) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Brewers are 10-2 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .331 (2,758 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .329 (1,830 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging .280 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,118 of their 3,787 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .291 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 96 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (462.2 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 52% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.