Marlins vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 19

(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
PromosNew Player Offer
  • The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Marlins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Marlins / Brewers TV Channel: MATV | BRTV

The Miami Marlins (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on July 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Marlins are 52-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 52-46 ATS.

Marlins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 5-7, 3.80 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Robert Gasser 2-4, 5.25 ERA

Marlins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -190O 8 -110+110
Brewers -1.5 +155U 8 -110-135

Marlins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Marlins vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Leonardo Jimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.50 Units / 310% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+15.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.45 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+20.00 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+15.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 53-45 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.54% ROI).

  • 52-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 4.86% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 2.87% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -11.84% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 52-46 against the Run Line (+13 Units / 11.42% ROI).

  • 61-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 7.94% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -12.07% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 3.42% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Marlins are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Marlins are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Brewers are 10-26 (.278) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Brewers are 40-20 (.667) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Brewers are 10-2 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .331 (2,771 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .255 on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .381 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .230 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 95 stolen bases this season — most in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 62% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Marlins vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.