- The Brewers are -250 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / Brewers TV Channel: FDFL | FDWI | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+170) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-210) on Friday, July 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Marlins are 48-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 56-44 ATS.
Marlins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 3-8, 5.22 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 12-4, 2.87 ERA
Marlins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -120 | O 8 +100 | +170 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -120 | -210 |
Marlins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+27.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+12.70 Units / 181% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 63% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+17.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+16.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 away games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 56 games (+23.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 98 games (+22.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 98 games (+17.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 28 games (+16.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 95 games (+12.34 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 59-42 against the Run Line (+8.05 Units / 5.98% ROI).
- 48-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 7.38% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -10.93% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 1.23% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 56-44 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 3.86% ROI).
- 61-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.5 Units / 14.41% ROI
- 43-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -17% ROI
- 56-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.8 Units / 7.89% ROI
Brewers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .351 (65-for-185) against Cal Quantrill this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (113 Total Bases / 185 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 58% (583/1,003) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of 1.000 (198 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .695 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .261 against Freddy Peralta on the first pitch of at-bats this season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 93rd Percentile. Opponents batted .390 (30-for-77) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — seventh worst among qualified SPs– 13th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 56% (199/352) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 44% of his pitches in the strike zone (886/2,001) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 38% of his pitches in the strike zone (133/352) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Marlins are just 73-18 (.802) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Marlins are 7-41 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Brewers are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .634.
The Brewers are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Brewers are 27-5 (.844) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Brewers are 56-14 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .390 (165 PA’s) against LHP this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Marlins are batting just .150 against LHP this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 10% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .470 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Brewers hitters have 33 extra-base hits out of 134 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have walked 5% of batters this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Marlins pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 39% of the time over the last 14 days — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%. over the last 14 days — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 62% of the time this month (18 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this month (18 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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