- The Brewers are -165 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Marlins / Brewers TV Channel: FDFL | FDWI
The Miami Marlins (+130) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-155) on Sunday, July 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Marlins are 50-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 56-46 ATS.
Marlins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 3-3, 3.23 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 2-0, 1.65 ERA
Marlins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -180 | O 7 +100 | +130 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 7 -120 | -155 |
Marlins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+20.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+16.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 44 away games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 48% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (+21.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 58 games (+20.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 100 games (+14.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 97 games (+12.24 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 61-42 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 7.33% ROI).
- 50-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 10.18% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -10.8% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.11% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 56-46 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 2.32% ROI).
- 61-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.75 Units / 11.16% ROI
- 44-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.3 Units / -16.76% ROI
- 57-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 7.65% ROI
Brewers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Brewers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez (MIA) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Brandon Woodruff (MIL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eury Perez has allowed an OBP of just .183 (82 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 97th Percentile.
Eury Perez has allowed an OPS of just .439 (82 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .693 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .141 (11-for-78) against Eury Perez this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Eury Perez has allowed an OPS of just .234 (48 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 95th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from Brandon Woodruff. — Michael Burrows has the longest active streak at 32.
Brandon Woodruff has allowed an OBP of just .169 (59 PA’s) this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .079 (5-for-63) against Brandon Woodruff’s elevated fastballs in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has not allowed a walk in his last 84 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 25th, 2023 — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 98.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are 7-41 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Marlins are 15-2 (.882) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Marlins are just 14-61 (.187) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Brewers are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Brewers are 44-6 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Brewers are 61-43 (.587) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 24-18 (.571) after a loss this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .481 (205 PA’s) against LHP this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Marlins hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .639 (3,081 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 35 extra-base hits out of 139 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Brewers are batting .257 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .483 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Brewers hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 321 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Marlins pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 37% of the time over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%. over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 5% of batters this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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