- The Marlins are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Miami Marlins (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Monday, July 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 53-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 45-48 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +145 | O 8 +100 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -120 | -105 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 52.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+14.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Fermin | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Garrett Cooper | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jose Fermin | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Cardinals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Fermin | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Miles Mikolas | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 62 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 games (+13.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 47-48 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -6.9% ROI).
- 53-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 8.92% ROI
- 44-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -7.19% ROI
- 47-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.43% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 45-48 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -5.95% ROI).
- 40-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.45 Units / -22.57% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.15% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -6.39% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 50 opportunities (26%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed three-ball counts to 21% of batters they faced (146/680 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 52% (122/236) against Jesus Luzardo on breaking pitches this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 52% (122/236) against Jesus Luzardo on sliders this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (145/896) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (53/332) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 33% (80 SO in 241 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (31/207) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
keys to the game – away
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
keys to the game – home
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jordan Montgomery (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Nardi (Marlins): Triceps, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Back, D10
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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