• The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+118) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on June 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Marlins are 43-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-31 ATS.

Marlins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-2, 5.90 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 9-4, 3.61 ERA

Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+23.00 Units / 288% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.55 Units / 58% ROI)
• Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 63% ROI)
• Jose Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jose Fermin has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
• Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+15.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 43-38 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 1.38% ROI).

• 43-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 5.93% ROI
• 44-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 5.96% ROI
• 35-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -14.64% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-31 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 5.51% ROI).

• 42-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 10.28% ROI
• 35-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -10.06% ROI
• 40-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.43% ROI

Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Marlins are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Marlins are 38-8 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 88-9 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .870.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cardinals are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 10-96 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.

The Cardinals are 32-22 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .274 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just 1.013 (599 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting .180 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .327 (881 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 448.7 feet — — tied for 5th shortest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (407.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% in late innings this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 1.04 runs per game (85/82) in late innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season (2,088 balls in play) — highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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