- The Cardinals (42-34) are -145 favorites vs the Marlins (33-39)
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (1-2), 4.07 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (5-4), 3.72 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 33-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 42-34 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -115 |
| Braxton Garrett | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 37 away games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 37-35 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.81% ROI).
- 33-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -9.8% ROI
- 38-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
- 33-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -10.59% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 6.05% ROI).
- 42-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.9% ROI
- 39-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 2.81% ROI
- 33-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -11.75% ROI
Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braxton Garrett has limited playing time.
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Marlins are just 7-21 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Marlins are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Marlins are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Cardinals are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cardinals are 23-15 (.605) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Cardinals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 641 strikeouts in 2,308 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .617 (612 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,308 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 181 extra-base hits out of 417 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 208 extra-base hits out of 489 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Cardinals are batting .259 with two outs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 67 of 675 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, Day-to-Day
- Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
- Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
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