Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (42-34) are -145 favorites vs the Marlins (33-39)
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (1-2), 4.07 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (5-4), 3.72 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Marlins are 33-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 42-34 ATS.

Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -160O 9 -120+120
Cardinals -1.5 +135U 9 +100-145

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Juan Yepez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

Cardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Juan Yepez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Juan Yepez 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +110 0.5 -155

Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dakota Hudson 3.5 -125 3.5 -115
Braxton Garrett 3.5 -140 3.5 -105
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 37 away games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 37-35 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.81% ROI).

  • 33-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -9.8% ROI
  • 38-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
  • 33-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -10.59% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 6.05% ROI).

  • 42-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 39-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 2.81% ROI
  • 33-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -11.75% ROI

Braxton Garrett has limited playing time.

Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Marlins are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Marlins are just 7-21 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Marlins are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Marlins are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cardinals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Cardinals are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Cardinals are 23-15 (.605) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Cardinals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins hitters have 641 strikeouts in 2,308 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .617 (612 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,308 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Cardinals hitters have 181 extra-base hits out of 417 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have 208 extra-base hits out of 489 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Cardinals are batting .259 with two outs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 67 of 675 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
  • Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
  • Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.