- The Marlins (33-40) are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals (43-34)
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (7-3), 1.94 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-3), 2.03 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Miami Marlins (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 33-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 43-34 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -115 | -120 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +100 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.55 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.60 Units / 68% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Cardinals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -130 |
| Sandy Alcantara | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 61 games (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 54 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 37-36 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -3.4% ROI).
- 33-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -10.83% ROI
- 38-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.8% ROI
- 34-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -9.14% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 43-34 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 7.4% ROI).
- 43-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1.87% ROI
- 39-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.29% ROI
- 34-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -10.38% ROI
Sandy Alcantara: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (14/114) against Sandy Alcantara this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has allowed a slugging percentage of just .108 (13 Total Bases / 120 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (62/380) against Sandy Alcantara since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (67/114) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (5/79) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (96/153) against Andre Pallante this season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 47 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 82% (18/22) against Andre Pallante — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Marlins are just 14-24 (.368) on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Marlins are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Marlins are 22-4 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Cardinals are 17-4 (.810) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Cardinals are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are 24-15 (.615) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 641 strikeouts in 2,308 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 175 strikeouts in 612 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 789 strikeouts in 2,926 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Marlins are batting just .224 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 184 extra-base hits out of 424 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have 211 extra-base hits out of 496 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .781 (586 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 69 of 684 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 197 of 2,103 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
- Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Right Lower Back, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
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