- The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Daniel Castano, 1.17 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford, 2.84 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Marlins are 5-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 11-6 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 67.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 90 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 5-11 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -41.25% ROI).
- 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -32.99% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -27.84% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 19.49% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 11-6 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 33.76% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 21.48% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -25.95% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 17.15% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (52/315) against Jake Woodford since the start of the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 41 opportunities (24%) last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Woodford had a strikeout rate of just 13% (24/188) last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 11% (14 SO in 126 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 30-88 (.254) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Marlins are just 9-38 (.191) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Marlins are just 9-53 (.145) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Marlins are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 830 strikeouts in 3,012 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .273 (1,316 PA’s) against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Marlins hitters have 978 strikeouts in 3,630 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Marlins have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 250 of 2,866 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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