Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto, 22.50 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas, 0.00 ERA

The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Friday, March 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Marlins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 3-2 ATS.

Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -150O 10.5 +100+120
Cardinals -1.5 +125U 10.5 -120-145

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Marlins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Charles Leblanc has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Willians Astudillo has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Albert Pujols has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+14.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 90 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -51.72% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -46.4% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -3.7% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -6.19% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 24.39% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.72% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -24.11% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 15.74% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season (133 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 16% (102/627) against Miles Mikolas last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

50% of Miles Mikolas’ called strikeouts were inside last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (133 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Marlins are just 55-9 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Marlins are just 67-76 (.469) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Marlins are just 10-33 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Marlins are 39-5 (.886) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Marlins hitters have 830 strikeouts in 3,012 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .630 (3,012 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Marlins batted just .208 against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .284 (3,012 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Marlins have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
  • Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.