- The Cubs are -250 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / Cubs TV Channel: FDFL | MARQ
The Miami Marlins (+200) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-250) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Marlins are 15-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 22-20 ATS.
Marlins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 0-2, 3.57 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 3-3, 5.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -102 | O 8 -105 | +200 |
| Cubs | -1.5 -118 | U 8 -115 | -250 |
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Derek Hill has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+15.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.51 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 19-21 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -6.38% ROI).
- 15-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -10.41% ROI
- 25-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 18.34% ROI
- 15-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -28.47% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 22-20 against the Run Line (+1.92 Units / 3.61% ROI).
- 24-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 7.36% ROI
- 24-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 14.92% ROI
- 16-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -23.12% ROI
Cubs vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Cubs vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Valente Bellozo (MIA) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (9/51) against Valente Bellozo this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/26) against Valente Bellozo this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Valente Bellozo has allowed an OBP of just .095 (21 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-18) against Valente Bellozo this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (257/660) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (44/133) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Ben Brown has a first-pitch in-zone of 74% (32/43) this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 56% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (560/1,509) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cubs are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Cubs are 50-13 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Cubs are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Cubs are 13-9 (.591) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have a swing rate of 51% against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Marlins hitters had 105 extra-base hits out of 357 total hits (just 29%) against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .478 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .491 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .841 (391 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 6.67 runs per game (120/18) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.78 (151.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cubs allowed 3.41 runs per game (276/81) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
More MLB Reading:
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