• The Cubs are -210 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Marlins / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+170) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-210) on September 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Marlins are 78-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 75-81 ATS.

Marlins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 5-6, 3.46 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 9-5, 4.12 ERA

Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+21.50 Units / 215% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+14.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games at home (+19.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• Matthew Boyd has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 46% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 81-75 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -2.45% ROI).

• 78-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.16% ROI
• 81-73 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.2% ROI
• 73-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.65 Units / -9.04% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 75-81 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -1.14% ROI).

• 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -2.39% ROI
• 88-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.05 Units / 9.21% ROI
• 66-88 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.1 Units / -17.34% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Marlins are just 33-47 (.412) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are just 15-34 (.306) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Cubs (12th fewest runs allowed).

The Marlins are just 12-59 (.169) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cubs are 30-35 (.462) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-63 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 18-30 (.375) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 48-6 (.889) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .307 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,894 PA’s) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .349 (1,642 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .447 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .769 (6,234 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .505 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 66% of opposing batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have had second base stolen on them 119 times this season — 4th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 132 stolen bases this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 24 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 24 runners this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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