Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • The Diamondbacks are -190 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Marlins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Marlins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: FDFL | DBTV

The Miami Marlins (+155) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-190) on Sunday, June 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.

This season, the Marlins are 36-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 39-43 ATS.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 3-7, 5.54 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 3-4, 5.41 ERA

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -130O 9 -102+155
Diamondbacks -1.5 +110U 9 -118-190

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 22 away games (+13.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 away games (+12.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 66 games (+15.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 46-35 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 5.13% ROI).

  • 36-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 2.73% ROI
  • 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -4.27% ROI
  • 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -5.62% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 39-43 against the Run Line (-8.71 Units / -8.35% ROI).

  • 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -9.62% ROI
  • 42-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 36-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -11.05% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Pavin Smith (ARI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dane Myers (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Diamondbacks vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +110 0.5 -150
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -220
Pavin Smith (ARI) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) 5.5 -105 5.5 -120
Cal Quantrill (MIA) 3.5 +130 3.5 -175

Right-handed batters are hitting .368 (53-for-144) against Cal Quantrill this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .653 (94 Total Bases / 144 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 0 Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .406 (155 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of 1.055 (85 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .652 — 0 Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .652 (43 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 0 Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of 1.199 (71 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .741 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .513 (20-for-39) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .364 (24-for-66) against Eduardo Rodriguez’s low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .198 — first Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Marlins are just 34-62 (.354) after a win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 95-124 (.434) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Marlins are just 64-18 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Marlins are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .091.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Diamondbacks are 99-25 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-9 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Diamondbacks are just 37-4 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.

The Diamondbacks are just 35-7 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.

Marlins hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Marlins hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .781 (6,607 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .778 (9,457 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (347.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

The Marlins have allowed 5.72 runs per game (229/40) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.