Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 27

Los Angeles Dodgers' Max Muncy celebrates his solo home run off Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow during the second inning of a baseball game Saturday, May 27, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
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  • The Dodgers are -295 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Marlins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Miami Marlins (+230) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-295) on April 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Marlins are 13-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 15-13 ATS.

Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-4, 6.21 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2-2, 2.51 ERA

Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 69.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+18.50 Units / 462% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Hye Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+7.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+11.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.59 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 11-17 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -22.31% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -6.27% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 22.58% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -31.37% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 15-13 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 5.37% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 2.02% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -12.1% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 2.12% ROI

Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +180
Max Muncy +290
Teoscar Hernandez +333
Kyle Tucker +360
Freddie Freeman +360

Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Will Smith 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Andy Pages 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Agustin Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Graham Pauley 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alex Freeland 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Max Muncy 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Marlins are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

The Marlins are 6-88 (.064) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Marlins are just 3-9 (.250) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Marlins are just 10-2 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Dodgers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Dodgers are 63-33 (.656) at home since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .542.

The Dodgers are 65-45 (.591) after a win since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Dodgers are 49-13 (.790) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .382 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .288 (539 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .285 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .474 this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .279 this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .473 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .923 (222 PA’s) against LHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 56 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (146.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.