Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

Los Angeles Dodgers' Freddie Freeman reacts after hitting a home run during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Friday, Sept. 9, 2022, in San Diego.
(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
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  • The Dodgers are -295 favorites vs the Marlins
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The Miami Marlins (+230) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-295) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Marlins are 13-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 15-14 ATS.

Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 1-2, 3.72 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 2-0, 0.38 ERA

Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 +110O 8 -115+230
Dodgers -1.5 -135U 8 -105-295

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 72.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.50 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.70 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Hye Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games at home (+8.00 Units / 160% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Walks Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Alex Freeland has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 away games (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+7.79 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+3.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 12-17 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -18.5% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -8.86% ROI
  • 18-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 24.92% ROI
  • 9-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -33.75% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 15-14 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 1.14% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 3.59% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -8.57% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.42% ROI

Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Max Muncy +333
Kyle Stowers +390
Dalton Rushing +390
Andy Pages +390
Teoscar Hernandez +390

Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Will Smith 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Hyeseong Kim 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Graham Pauley 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dalton Rushing 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Otto Lopez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Alex Freeland 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Marlins are 12-2 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Marlins are just 1-14 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

The Marlins are just 3-10 (.231) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Marlins are just 10-3 (.769) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Dodgers are 3-7 (.300) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Dodgers are 3-5 (.375) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Dodgers are 20-9 (.690) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 113-78 (.592) since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .375 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 43% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .486 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .291 (561 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .297 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .466 this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .492 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .838 (285 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (146.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 14 double plays in 199 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% over the last 14 days — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Dodgers pitchers this month (24 games) — tied for best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.