- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Miami Marlins (+115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) on Friday, August 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Marlins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 63-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 66-54 ATS.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | +115 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | -140 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+9.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+9.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Tony Gonsolin | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+4.79 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 89 games (+1.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 94 games (+18.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 116 games (+17.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 100 games (+17.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games at home (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 56-66 against the Run Line (-23 Units / -14.15% ROI).
- 63-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -1.17% ROI
- 55-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 61-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.26% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 66-54 against the Run Line (+14.25 Units / 9.83% ROI).
- 74-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 1.84% ROI
- 67-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.3 Units / 11.55% ROI
- 47-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -26 Units / -19.74% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (789/1,100) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (619/1,100) against Sandy Alcantara this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strikeout rate of just 27% (49 SO in 179 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 16th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 69% (617/893) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .247 (45-for-182) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (16 Total Bases / 56 ABs) when behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .632 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 6 opportunities (33%) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to July 7th — Kyle Muller has the longest active streak at 9.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are 7-50 (.123) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Marlins are 13-128 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins are 22-109 (.168) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Marlins are just 107-8 (.930) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 62-6 (.912) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Dodgers are 34-15 (.694) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Dodgers are 162-26 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Dodgers are 65-32 (.670) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins are batting .298 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have 157 extra-base hits out of 527 total hits (just 30%) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 132 extra-base hits out of 286 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 332 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 151 walks in 1,351 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D60
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Rib, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Huascar Brazoban (Marlins): Hamstring, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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