- The Dodgers (81-36) are -275 favorites vs the Marlins (52-66)
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo (3-5), 3.71 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (13-2), 2.80 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Miami Marlins (+220) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Marlins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 73-43 ATS.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -110 | +220 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -110 | -275 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+13.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games at home (+13.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 54 games (+11.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Hanser Alberto | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Hanser Alberto | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hanser Alberto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
| Jesus Luzardo | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+16.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 113 games (+12.68 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games at home (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 53-65 against the Run Line (-22.8 Units / -14.37% ROI).
- 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -12.21% ROI
- 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 4.17% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 73-43 against the Run Line (+27.1 Units / 19.46% ROI).
- 81-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.05% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 6.06% ROI
Jesús Luzardo: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 9% (3/32) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .854 (35 Total Bases / 41 ABs) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (9/47) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has a strike rate of just 62% (1,224/1,987) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 61% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (692/1,139) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 37% (101 SO in 275 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.0 MPH this season (343 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .149 (24 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Marlins are just 22-62 (.262) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Marlins are just 8-25 (.242) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Marlins are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 73-14 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Dodgers are 39-15 (.722) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Dodgers are 41-21 (.661) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Dodgers are 59-4 (.937) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 724 strikeouts in 2,603 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,603 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .622 (1,381 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,369 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (3,193 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .454 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,241 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (2486.2 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (544.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (1529.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Head, Day-to-Day
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D15
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