Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 19, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (81-36) are -275 favorites vs the Marlins (52-66)
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo (3-5), 3.71 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (13-2), 2.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Miami Marlins (+220) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Marlins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Marlins are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 73-43 ATS.

Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 +105O 8 -110+220
Dodgers -1.5 -130U 8 -110-275

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+13.45 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games at home (+13.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 54 games (+11.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)

Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Hanser Alberto 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Justin Turner 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Max Muncy 0.5 +400 0.5 -700

Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Hanser Alberto 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Justin Turner 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Max Muncy 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Hanser Alberto 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Justin Turner 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Max Muncy 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
Jesus Luzardo 5.5 -105 5.5 -125
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+16.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 113 games (+12.68 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games at home (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 53-65 against the Run Line (-22.8 Units / -14.37% ROI).

  • 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -12.92% ROI
  • 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -12.21% ROI
  • 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 4.17% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 73-43 against the Run Line (+27.1 Units / 19.46% ROI).

  • 81-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 3.88% ROI
  • 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.05% ROI
  • 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 6.06% ROI

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 9% (3/32) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .854 (35 Total Bases / 41 ABs) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (9/47) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has a strike rate of just 62% (1,224/1,987) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.

Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 61% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (692/1,139) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 37% (101 SO in 275 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.0 MPH this season (343 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .149 (24 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Marlins are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Marlins are just 22-62 (.262) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Marlins are just 8-25 (.242) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Marlins are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Dodgers are 73-14 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Dodgers are 39-15 (.722) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Dodgers are 41-21 (.661) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Dodgers are 59-4 (.937) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Marlins hitters have 724 strikeouts in 2,603 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,603 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .622 (1,381 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,369 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (3,193 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .454 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,241 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (2486.2 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (544.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (1529.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.