Marlins vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 25

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  • The Marlins are +105 favorites vs the Giants
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The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on April 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are ATS.

Marlins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 2-1, 4.16 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 2-3, 2.86 ERA

Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins-1.5 +170O 7.5 -115+105
Giants +1.5 -225U 7.5 -105-130

Marlins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Connor Norby has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+18.00 Units / 450% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.90 Units / 119% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Drew Gilbert has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.79 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Marlins are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Marlins are just 10-2 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Marlins are 11-78 (.124) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Marlins are 6-86 (.065) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Giants are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Giants are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Giants are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Giants are just 5-9 (.357) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Marlins are batting .291 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .292 (504 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .346 (714 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have struck out in just 6% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .277 (674 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

34% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 53 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (146.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.