- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Mariners TV Channel: FDFL | RTNW
The Miami Marlins (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on Sunday, April 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Marlins are 12-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 15-12 ATS.
Marlins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 2-2, 2.13 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -115 | +120 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -105 | -145 |
Marlins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+12.10 Units / 121% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+10.00 Units / 125% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.90 Units / 139% ROI)
- Bryce Miller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ben Williamson has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+10.50 Units / 175% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 13-13 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -6.46% ROI).
- 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 12.99% ROI
- 17-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 23.06% ROI
- 9-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.65 Units / -34.28% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 15-12 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 9.05% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.55% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 5.92% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -15.55% ROI
Mariners vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Evans (SEA) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 46% (36/79) against Max Meyer this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 43% (46/107) against Max Meyer this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Max Meyer has a strikeout rate of 44% (20 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Max Meyer has a strikeout rate of 47% (17 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 46-16 (.742) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Mariners are 67-7 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Mariners are just 77-16 (.828) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Mariners were 49-32 (.605) at home in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins were just 4-17 (.190) against the run line (-61.9% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Marlins are just 6-20 (.231) against the run line (-57.4% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .213 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .206 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins have allowed 5.90 runs per game (572/97) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.24 (900.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .276 (5,788 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
More MLB Reading:
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