- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Miami Marlins (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Monday, June 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Marlins vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 30-34 ATS.
Marlins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -110 | +100 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -110 | -120 |
Marlins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 60.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+14.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+12.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mariners vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Mariners vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Jesus Luzardo | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 33 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+12.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 55 games (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+2.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 32-34 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -9.64% ROI).
- 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 10.02% ROI
- 29-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -12.74% ROI
- 35-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 4.4% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -7.99% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -9.96% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -3.35% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -5.4% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 36 opportunities (28%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .607 (17 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 8 opportunities (50%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .370 (60 Total Bases / 162 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (403/587) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 20 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 11% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Bryce Miller’s pitches (316/587) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has an average spin rate of 2602.0 RPM on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 2250.9 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins are 5-25 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Marlins are 11-103 (.096) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins are just 30-22 (.577) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are just 0-14 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Mariners are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 53-9 (.855) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Mariners are just 1-3 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,887 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 69 double plays in 454 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .657 (3,583 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Marlins hitters have 2 strikeouts in 4 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .259 (274 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Mariners are batting just .225 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Marlins pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Marlins pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 38 of 573 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 164 of 2,392 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7 of 225 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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