- The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Miami Marlins (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Marlins vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 37-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 31-34 ATS.
Marlins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | O 7 +100 | +120 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 7 -120 | -145 |
Marlins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+14.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+14.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+13.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 48% ROI)
Mariners vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Mariners vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
Mariners vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Edward Cabrera | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 34 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 32-35 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -11.84% ROI).
- 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 8.54% ROI
- 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -11.21% ROI
- 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 2.71% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 31-34 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -5.72% ROI).
- 32-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -1.93% ROI
- 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -7% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .126 (14-for-111) against Edward Cabrera with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 38 of 272 batters (14%) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (14/22) against Edward Cabrera — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (38/125 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 19% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (783/1,102) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 6 of 301 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 72% (406/567) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (34-for-102) against George Kirby’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins are 5-26 (.161) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Marlins are just 74-18 (.804) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Marlins are 61-9 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Marlins are just 18-29 (.383) after a road win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are just 0-14 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Mariners are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Mariners are 93-3 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are just 1-3 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have 951 strikeouts in 3,586 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,890 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 156 total hits (just 28%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .260 (277 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Mariners are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Marlins pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 167 of 2,423 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 618 of 8,453 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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