- The Mariners are -190 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Pérez
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Miami Marlins (+160) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-190) on Wednesday, June 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Marlins vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 37-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 32-34 ATS.
Marlins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -140 | O 7 -115 | +160 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +115 | U 7 -105 | -190 |
Marlins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jean Segura has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Mariners vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Mariners vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Mariners vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
| Eury Perez | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 57 games (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.15 Units / 62% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 32-36 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -13.33% ROI).
- 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 7.23% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -9.7% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.27% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 32-34 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -4.05% ROI).
- 33-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -8.36% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw allowed an OBP of just .229 (411 PA’s) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 98th Percentile.
Eury Perez has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (34/121 PA’s) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 20% — fourth Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw allowed an OBP of just .208 (318 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw threw breaking pitches 58% of the time (280/481) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (48/115) against Luis Castillo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .212 (146 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 46% (37 SO in 81 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .173 (24-for-139) against Luis Castillo this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 95th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins are 5-27 (.156) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Marlins are just 10-53 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Marlins are 11-105 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins are 32-4 (.889) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are just 0-14 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Mariners are 94-3 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Mariners are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,894 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 71 double plays in 460 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,590 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .259 (278 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .358 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Mariners are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Marlins pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 169 of 2,460 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 620 of 8,490 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 40 of 591 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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