• The Mets are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Marlins / Mets TV Channel: MATV | WPIX | ESUN | WFOR

The Miami Marlins (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on May 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Marlins are 26-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 20-35 ATS.

Marlins vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 5-0, 2.51 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-4, 3.56 ERA

Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.45 Units / 106% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+14.60 Units / 146% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.37 Units / 45% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 away games (+3.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 away games (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games (+20.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 26-31 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -11.83% ROI).

• 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -5.58% ROI
• 34-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.6 Units / 16.79% ROI
• 21-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -26.1% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 20-35 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -22.86% ROI).

• 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.55 Units / -29.73% ROI
• 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -14.98% ROI
• 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 5.53% ROI

Mets vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Marlins are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Marlins are just 8-16 (.333) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Marlins are just 2-10 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mets are just 21-30 (.412) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Mets are just 1-97 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets are just 101-103 (.495) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters are slugging just .424 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 19 extra-base hits out of 76 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .296 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .642 (2,079 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .641 (1,479 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .551 (480 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .594 (645 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 96 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (201.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 96 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 99 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.