• The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Marlins / Mets TV Channel: MATV | SNY

The Miami Marlins (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on May 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Marlins are 26-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 21-35 ATS.

Marlins vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 0-0, 1.08 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-0, 3.20 ERA

Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+10.20 Units / 113% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• Owen Caissie has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+8.90 Units / 127% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 32% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+12.60 Units / 158% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.22 Units / 45% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 57% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+16.30 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 away games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 away games (+3.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 26-32 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -13% ROI).

• 26-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -7.08% ROI
• 35-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.6 Units / 18.05% ROI
• 21-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.35 Units / -27.39% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 21-35 against the Run Line (-13.45 Units / -20.77% ROI).

• 24-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.55 Units / -28.01% ROI
• 24-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -13.13% ROI
• 29-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 3.68% ROI

Mets vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Marlins are just 2-11 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Marlins are just 8-17 (.320) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Marlins are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mets are just 21-30 (.412) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Mets are just 1-97 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Mets are just 101-103 (.495) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters are slugging just .432 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 20 extra-base hits out of 79 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .530 (1,097 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .589 (656 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .643 (2,119 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .642 (1,516 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .348 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have 97 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 1.05 runs per game (61/58) in late innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have had second base stolen on them 57 times this season — most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 64 stolen bases this season — most in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 30 double plays in 401 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.