• The Marlins are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
• Marlins vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Nationals TV Channel: MATV | NATV | WTTG

The Miami Marlins (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Marlins are 68-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 77-57 ATS.

Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 7-9, 3.21 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Jackson Kent 0-2, 7.82 ERA

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+21.10 Units / 68% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 49% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+15.80 Units / 158% ROI)
• Nasim Nuñez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.25 Units / 75% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Nasim Nuñez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+12.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 68-64 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -3.15% ROI).

• 68-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 1.75% ROI
• 64-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -6.04% ROI
• 66-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -2.83% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 77-57 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 4.53% ROI).

• 63-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.27% ROI
• 69-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 2.44% ROI
• 60-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -10.42% ROI

Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Marlins are just 13-30 (.302) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Nationals (28th fewest runs allowed).

The Marlins are just 27-39 (.409) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins are just 26-39 (.400) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Nationals are just 1-56 (.018) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 1-63 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 13-54 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 32-25 (.561) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .282 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .296 with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters are slugging .438 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,517 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .288 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .546 (2,739 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have not picked-off any runners from first base this season — fewest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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