- The Marlins are -102 favorites vs the Nationals
- Marlins vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / Nationals TV Channel: MATV | NATV
The Miami Marlins (-102) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-118) on August 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are ATS.
Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 13-8, 3.41 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 12-5, 3.22 ERA
Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -118 | -102 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -102 | -118 |
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+23.30 Units / 76% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+15.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+14.40 Units / 288% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+14.05 Units / 94% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | +350 |
| Kyle Stowers | +360 |
| Griffin Conine | +390 |
| Heriberto Hernandez | +425 |
| Abimelec Ortiz | +450 |
Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Abimelec Ortiz | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Mack | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jakob Marsee | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brady House | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| CJ Abrams | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Marlins are just 13-30 (.302) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Nationals (28th fewest runs allowed).
The Marlins are just 26-40 (.394) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Marlins are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Marlins are just 8-28 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Nationals are just 1-56 (.018) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 33-25 (.569) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 30-38 (.441) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 1-63 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins are batting just .187 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 39% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — 4th best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting .260 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .289 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .433 this season — best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have not picked-off any runners from first base this season — fewest in MLB.
The Marlins have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Marlins have allowed 3.62 runs per game (250/69) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (626.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 1.77 runs per game (242/137) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 5.65 runs per game (384/68) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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