• The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
• Marlins vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Nationals TV Channel: MATV | NATV | FS1

The Miami Marlins (-120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+100) on August 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are ATS.

Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 1-3, 3.96 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Will Dion 1-1, 3.67 ERA

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+18.75 Units / 61% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Daylen Lile has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Nasim Nuñez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+12.40 Units / 177% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+4.30 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+12.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Marlins are just 8-28 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are 34-6 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins are just 28-40 (.412) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Nationals are just 1-56 (.018) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 33-25 (.569) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 1-63 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 13-55 (.191) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters are slugging just .527 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .188 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .278 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .294 with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .813 (1,239 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,540 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 410 runs in the first 5 innings this season — most in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (626.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 3.62 runs per game (250/69) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Marlins have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.11 (638.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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