- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | FDFL
The Miami Marlins (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Saturday, July 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Marlins are 42-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 39-53 ATS.
Marlins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 3-1, 3.12 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-0, 1.57 ERA
Marlins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -155 | O 9 +105 | +135 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +130 | U 9 -125 | -165 |
Marlins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+14.20 Units / 237% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.25 Units / 88% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+13.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 74 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 72 games (+17.43 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 54-39 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 5.45% ROI).
- 42-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 3.46% ROI
- 44-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -9.39% ROI
- 48-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.3% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 39-53 against the Run Line (-17.21 Units / -14.63% ROI).
- 43-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 39-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.48 Units / -16.17% ROI
- 51-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.23 Units / 8% ROI
Orioles vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Orioles vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Janson Junk (MIA) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Janson Junk has walked 2% of batters this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Janson Junk has walked 2% of batters this season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Janson Junk’s K:BB ratio is 9.0 (36/4) this season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 2.6 — 100th Percentile.
Janson Junk’s K:BB ratio is 22.0 (22/1) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 3.0 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers threw 62% of his pitches in the strike zone (55/88) in his last start — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers had a strike rate of just 51% (237/463) on sliders in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has thrown 62% of his pitches in the strike zone (55/88) this month (1 game) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% (87/180) against Trevor Rogers with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Marlins are just 68-18 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Marlins are just 73-14 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 101-130 (.437) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Orioles are just 0-45 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Orioles are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Orioles are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Orioles are 127-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .643 (2,963 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Marlins are batting .260 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .621 (969 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Orioles are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .361 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have walked 5% of batters this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 8% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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