Marlins vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Marlins are -102 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Marlins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Marlins / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | FDFL | WBFS

The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Sunday, July 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.

This season, the Marlins are 43-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 39-54 ATS.

Marlins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 2-2, 4.00 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 0-3, 6.24 ERA

Marlins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins-1.5 +165O 9 +100+105
Orioles +1.5 -200U 9 -120-125

Marlins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Agustin Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+14.20 Units / 237% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.25 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 away games (+15.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 75 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.43 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+7.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 46 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 55-39 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 6.19% ROI).

  • 43-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 4.89% ROI
  • 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -10.43% ROI
  • 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.68% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 39-54 against the Run Line (-18.21 Units / -15.35% ROI).

  • 43-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -11.91% ROI
  • 39-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.68 Units / -17.15% ROI
  • 52-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.23 Units / 8.89% ROI

Orioles vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Kyle Stowers (MIA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Colton Cowser (BAL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625

Orioles vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Connor Norby (MIA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Eric Wagaman (MIA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Orioles vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Otto Lopez (MIA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Kyle Stowers (MIA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220

Orioles vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Young (BAL) 3.5 -150 3.5 +115
Eury Perez (MIA) 5.5 -145 5.5 +110

Eury Perez has allowed an OBP of just .105 (38 PA’s) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.

Eury Perez has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Eury Perez has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Eury Perez has allowed an OBP of just .050 (20 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Young has limited playing time.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Marlins are just 37-66 (.359) after a win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 68-18 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Marlins are just 74-14 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Marlins are 9-39 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Orioles are just 0-46 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Orioles are 41-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Orioles are just 2-107 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Orioles are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,989 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Marlins are batting just .151 against LHP this month (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .659 (1,802 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Orioles hitters are averaging 4.01 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .361 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Marlins pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.87 (828.1 IP) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.

Orioles pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed 128 home runs this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.