Marlins vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 10

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Phillies (61-48) are -125 favorites vs the Marlins (49-60)
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (10-4), 1.87 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (6-8), 4.02 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-PH

The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-125) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Marlins are 49-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 58-51 ATS.

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -200O 7 +100+105
Phillies -1.5 +165U 7 -120-125

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 70.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 39 games at home (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 games at home (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+12.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Bryson Stott 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Darick Hall 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Bryson Stott 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Darick Hall 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Bryson Stott 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Darick Hall 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Noah Syndergaard 5.5 +120 5.5 -175
Sandy Alcantara 6.5 +120 6.5 -165
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 104 games (+15.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+14.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 49% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 48-61 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -15.23% ROI).

  • 49-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -12.24% ROI
  • 50-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -8.59% ROI
  • 55-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.42% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 58-51 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 5.36% ROI).

  • 61-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 3.38% ROI
  • 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.96% ROI
  • 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -10.18% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (28/172) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (233/418) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (101/172) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .195 (108-for-555) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 22 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 27 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 64% (16/25) against Noah Syndergaard on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Marlins are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Marlins are just 23-28 (.451) at home this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Marlins are 14-2 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Marlins are just 8-26 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Phillies are 10-36 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Phillies are 12-36 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Phillies are 50-17 (.746) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Phillies are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .276 (840 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .636 (2,536 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Marlins hitters have 701 strikeouts in 2,536 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .288 (2,536 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Phillies hitters are slugging .795 against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Phillies hitters are slugging .676 at home over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.227 (44 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .432 (44 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .299.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Phillies pitchers have walked 153 of 2,394 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Phillies have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Phillies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathon Berti (Marlins): Groin, D10
  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Nance (Marlins): Groin, D15
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
  • Brian Anderson (Marlins): Shoulder, D10
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.