- The Phillies (31-31) are -185 favorites vs the Marlins (28-32)
- Marlins starting pitcher: – (-), – ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (4-2), 4.40 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Miami Marlins (+150) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 28-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 31-31 ATS.
Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -115 | +150 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -185 |
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 76.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 5.62% ROI).
- 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -9.17% ROI
- 31-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 0.75% ROI
- 28-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -8.52% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 31-31 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.26% ROI).
- 31-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -7.16% ROI
- 36-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.7 Units / 14.15% ROI
- 24-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -22.5% ROI
–: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 6 double plays in 23 opportunities (26%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .121 (4-for-33) against Pablo Lopez on low fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 93rd Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has struck out 32% (40/127) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of .818 (18 Total Bases / 22 ABs) vs left-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .370 — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has struck out just 14% (17/125) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 53% (50/94) against Kyle Gibson this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 88th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (251/521) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (172/521) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Marlins are just 6-17 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Marlins are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Marlins are just 13-18 (.419) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Marlins are just 2-24 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Phillies are 6-23 (.207) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Phillies are just 113-18 (.863) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Phillies are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Phillies are 5-22 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 617 strikeouts in 2,215 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 151 strikeouts in 519 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .591 (519 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .456 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .769 (739 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Phillies hitters have 643 strikeouts in 2,672 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Marlins have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .252 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .276 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH since the start of last season (5,455 balls in play) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Phillies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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