Marlins vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

Pittsburgh Pirates' Jack Suwinski follows through on a single during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Saturday, June 24, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Marlins vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9 Runs
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The Miami Marlins (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on June 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Marlins are 35-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-35 ATS.

Marlins vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Lake Bachar 0-0, 3.00 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 2-7, 4.89 ERA

Marlins vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -185O 9 -105+110
Pirates -1.5 +150U 9 -115-135

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+16.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
  • Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+24.40 Units / 305% ROI)
  • Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+18.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 40 games at home (+2.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 35-35 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -4.66% ROI).

  • 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.94% ROI
  • 40-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.9 Units / 12.74% ROI
  • 27-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -21.95% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 34-35 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -7.07% ROI
  • 41-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.15 Units / 14.39% ROI
  • 27-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.75 Units / -23.2% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Marlins are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 30-6 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Marlins are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Pirates are 29-4 (.879) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Pirates are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Pirates are 20-14 (.588) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Pirates are just 12-81 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .482 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 97 total hits (just 30%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .264 (1,328 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .316 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 171 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .365 (311 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.06 (263.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 64 home runs this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .288 (632 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Batters facing the Pirates pitchers put just 35% of their swings in play this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.