• The Pirates are -160 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Marlins / Pirates TV Channel: PEAC

The Miami Marlins (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) on June 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Marlins are 35-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-35 ATS.

Marlins vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 6-0, 2.83 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-5, 2.86 ERA

Marlins vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+16.70 Units / 67% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.80 Units / 64% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• Connor Norby has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+23.40 Units / 260% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+17.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.20 Units / 5% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 35-35 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -4.59% ROI).

• 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.6% ROI
• 40-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.9 Units / 11.31% ROI
• 28-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -20.32% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 34-35 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 36-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -5.88% ROI
• 41-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.15 Units / 12.93% ROI
• 28-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -21.56% ROI

Pirates vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Marlins are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Pirates are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Pirates are 30-4 (.882) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Pirates are just 15-20 (.429) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Pirates are just 9-61 (.129) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .264 (1,346 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .484 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,479 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .316 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .273 at home this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 117 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .227 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 1.68 runs per game (119/71) in late innings this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 64 home runs this season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% in the first 5 innings this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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